womzilla: (Default)
[personal profile] womzilla
Scoop is a New Zealand-based internet news service. I know nothing about them.

Here is a page at Scoop written by a woman named Faun Otter, who has been writing about electronic vote fraud for a while. It purports to demonstrate that the state-by-state exit polls have a peculiar feature: the exit polls in ten battleground states tracked the outcome pretty well, within a point or so of the published results. In seven other battle states, however, the polls were wildly off, ranging from 4% to 15% off. And in all seven cases, the difference between the exit polls and the published vote favored George W. Bush. The difference in Ohio is 4%; the difference in Florida is 7%; in both cases, this is more than enough to switch the state from Kerry to Bush, and also give the electoral college victory to Bush.

These data do not prove anything. They are, however, curious. If the inaccuracy of the polls was random, one would expect at least some of the states to have significantly underestimated Kerry's position. But none did; all the "polling error" overstated Kerry and downplayed Bush. There are explanations for this which do not revolve around systematic vote fraud; however, given the history, I am starting to feel robbed.

Date: 2004-11-07 07:23 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kalimac.livejournal.com
The best non-fraud explanation is that voters were deeply ashamed of preferring Bush. Polls consistently underestimated the voting support of David Duke when he was running for office.

Date: 2004-11-07 10:35 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] womzilla.livejournal.com
One element I didn't mention is that it has been suggested that the disagreement between the polling and the final vote count is most severe where there was unauditable electronic voting. However, I have not seen really good numbers on that, just some charts that could easily have been cherry-picked to make the trend seem real.

Date: 2004-11-07 08:25 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] janetmiles.livejournal.com
It is certainly a suggestive trend.

Date: 2004-11-07 11:19 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] holyoutlaw.livejournal.com
Here's something I just linked to for your perusal:

http://www.commondreams.org/views04/1106-30.htm

Headline: Evidence Mounts the Vote was Hacked.

If you're inclined to read it, I'd be interested to read what you think of it.

Yeah curious

Date: 2004-11-09 05:22 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dmsherwood53.livejournal.com
& things that just happen to work out to favour The Powers that be should be look into, This is the beginning of Wisdom Little GrassHopper

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